The Economy
Layoffs continue but unemployment seems to have plateau'd around 6.5% in our area. Home-prices also seem to be steadying out. The media is reporting dropping home prices with the Case-Shiller® index being used to prove this fact. However, this measurement looks at the price of the middle of homes sold and not the comparison of values of any one home re-sold.
It's true that the homes sold are the majority below $200,000 and some 40+% are bank-foreclosures which skews the data. The good-condition standard-sale homes are still selling very close to the price they sold at one year ago in most areas of the Twin Cities.
Near-Term Predictions
Unemployment and not-so-great stock market performance will likely continue to haunt the economy thru the remainder of 2009 and possibly into 2010. However, for those willing to purchase a home at a good price and interest rate in this buyer's market, I think will see a good return-on-investment if they're willing to hang onto the home for a minumum of seven years.
Assumable Mortgages and Low Interest Rates
If they purchase a home using an assumable VA or FHA mortgage, even better because in seven years when interest rates are 8.5% (or some amount much higher than current rates), their investment will be in even higher demand as people can assume their current mortgage for a very attractive interest rate and low closing costs.
